Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000200 0.000222 0.000245 0.000271 0.000301 0.000333 0.000371
2025-10-05 0.000163 0.000194 0.000231 0.000277 0.000333 0.000401 0.000489
2025-10-12 0.000140 0.000176 0.000221 0.000282 0.000361 0.000463 0.000606
2025-10-19 0.000121 0.000159 0.000209 0.000279 0.000377 0.000510 0.000707
2025-10-26 0.000109 0.000149 0.000203 0.000282 0.000398 0.000563 0.000824
2025-11-02 0.000098 0.000137 0.000193 0.000278 0.000408 0.000602 0.000924
2025-11-09 0.000089 0.000129 0.000186 0.000277 0.000422 0.000647 0.001037
2025-11-16 0.000081 0.000120 0.000178 0.000273 0.000428 0.000680 0.001136
2025-11-23 0.000073 0.000111 0.000169 0.000266 0.000429 0.000704 0.001221
2025-11-30 0.000069 0.000107 0.000167 0.000270 0.000449 0.000762 0.001375
2025-12-07 0.000066 0.000104 0.000166 0.000275 0.000472 0.000827 0.001550
2025-12-14 0.000061 0.000098 0.000159 0.000270 0.000475 0.000855 0.001658
2025-12-21 0.000056 0.000091 0.000150 0.000260 0.000469 0.000870 0.001747
2025-12-28 0.000053 0.000088 0.000149 0.000265 0.000493 0.000945 0.001979
2026-01-04 0.000050 0.000086 0.000148 0.000270 0.000516 0.001022 0.002230
2026-01-11 0.000047 0.000082 0.000144 0.000268 0.000526 0.001072 0.002425
2026-01-18 0.000045 0.000079 0.000142 0.000270 0.000544 0.001145 0.002691
2026-01-25 0.000042 0.000075 0.000137 0.000267 0.000550 0.001189 0.002896
2026-02-01 0.000040 0.000073 0.000134 0.000266 0.000562 0.001249 0.003151
2026-02-08 0.000038 0.000069 0.000129 0.000262 0.000565 0.001287 0.003357
2026-02-15 0.000035 0.000065 0.000124 0.000255 0.000561 0.001309 0.003521
2026-02-22 0.000034 0.000064 0.000123 0.000259 0.000584 0.001401 0.003909
2026-03-01 0.000033 0.000063 0.000123 0.000264 0.000610 0.001505 0.004361